
The Top 10 Stats That Predict Scoring
Ranked by predictive power: the 10 golf stats that actually tell you what you will shoot, and the popular ones that tell you almost nothing.

Ranked by predictive power: the 10 golf stats that actually tell you what you will shoot, and the popular ones that tell you almost nothing.

Strokes gained has been around long enough to collect a set of misconceptions that survive because they sound reasonable. Here are seven of them, and what your own numbers say instead.

Telling yourself to concentrate harder rarely survives the back nine. Your shot data shows exactly where attention slips, and gives you something specific to hold onto instead.

For most of its existence golf measured itself with one number per round. It took until 2003 for anyone to record where the ball actually went, and until the 2010s for that idea to reach club golfers.

A 25 mph day can wipe two strokes off your round before you make a single bad swing. Wind does not get subtracted from your strokes gained, so it pays to know exactly where it takes the strokes from.

The club you trust most is often not your best club, and the part of your game you apologize for is often fine. A simple self assessment against your strokes gained data shows where belief and performance have come apart.